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The Philadelphia 76ers and Boston Celtics square off tonight, and we’re leaning on the model to find the best NBA player prop projections value on the board.
For the full slate, check out our 76ers vs. Celtics predictions and daily NBA picks for more traditional sides and totals.
76ers vs Celtics computer picks for March 1
| 76ers |  Celtics |
|---|---|
| Drummond u9.5 rebounds -120 | Hauser o3.5 rebounds +102 |
| Maxey o2.5 threes -170 | White o16.5 points -115 |
| Grimes o11.5 points -105 | Pritchard o17.5 points -115 |
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76ers computer picks
Andre Drummond Under 9.5 rebounds (-120)
Projection: 8.7 rebounds
Andre Drummond is still an elite rebounder, but the matchup and projected minutes don’t scream double-digit boards. The model has him landing just under this number, and if the pace stays in check, there simply won’t be enough misses to clear 10. Under 9.5 is the value spot.
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Tyrese Maxey Over 2.5 threes (-170)
Projection: 3.5 threes
Tyrese Maxey is letting it fly right now. The volume is there, the green light is there, and the projection has him comfortably above this line. If he gets his usual run and touches, three triples is a very realistic baseline. The juice isn’t pretty, but the number makes sense.
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Quentin Grimes Over 11.5 points (-105)
Projection: 12.1 points
Quentin Grimes doesn’t need a monster night to get there. He just needs steady usage and his normal shot diet. The model has him clearing this number, and at near even money, we’re basically asking for a modest scoring night. Over 11.5 is playable.
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Celtics computer picks
Sam Hauser Over 3.5 rebounds (+102)
Projection: 4.5 rebounds
Sam Hauser isn’t just a standstill shooter — he crashes the glass when he’s out there. With projected minutes holding steady, the model gives him a full rebound cushion over this line. At plus money, that’s a bet worth taking.
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Derrick White Over 16.5 points (-115)
Projection: 18.5 points
Derrick White’s role in this offense is secure. He gets clean looks, he attacks closeouts, and he can get there from three or at the rim. The projection clears this line by two points, which is enough margin to justify the Over at this price.
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Payton Pritchard Over 17.5 points (-115)
Projection: 19 points
Payton Pritchard has the green light with the second unit and isn’t shy about taking shots. When the minutes are there, the scoring follows. The model has him just under 20, which gives us enough cushion to ride the Over 17.5.
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How to watch 76ers vs Celtics tonight
| Location | TD Garden, Boston, MA |
| Date | Sunday, March 1, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBC |
Not intended for use in MA.
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